In 1995, Clifford Stoll confidently opined in Newsweek that the web wouldn't amount to much and that people would never telecommute, buy books, chat, read newspapers or shop online. Predictions can look foolish a decade later. Or course, before I do I'll say what I always say: Prediction is a tricky business. Mostly people are asking the questions but the TLDR of these articles is nobody really knows yet.īut we can start to make some strong predictions and I'm going to do that right here. There are even more critical questions too: Will AI be open or closed? Are we rapidly retreating from open source to the closed retro-computing era of Microsoft and the Wintel dynasty? Will it be the foundation model companies? The masters of UI/UX design? The open source AI pioneers? The big tech behemoths like Google and Microsoft and Facebook, with their small army of engineers? Or will it be a bunch of new companies that come out of nowhere to capture market and mindshare fast? Who can build big, powerful defensible businesses around machine learning and fend off a horde of challengers? A lot of people are wondering who's going to make the big money in AI?

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